I screwed up...
With the way hockey standings work (getting two points for a win, one for losing in overtime) it's possible for a team to be in third and still have a higher magic number against them if the team in third hasn't played as many games as the team in second.
Which was the case.
I'd only done the math for the second place team, not the third.
Well, the third place team made up that game yesterday in a win over Pensacola, pushing them into second place. Since they own the tiebreaker against us as of now (they have one more win than us), the number had to be pushed up to six.
Don't worry, I am too.
Basically we can clinch the division if:
- we win all three games we have left,
- we win two and Florida drops one in regulation,
- we win one and Florida drops two in regulation,
- or Florida wins all three they have left in regulation.
Of course, all that gets muddied up if there's an overtime loss by either team, but I'm not smart enough to figure out all the scenarios if that happens, so we'll just cross that bridge when we get to it.
I'm just hoping that the guys keep it simple for all of us and win all three, something I don't really expect since they're all on the road.